Tuesday, October 27, 2009
October 27th, 2009
SPY had an unfinished business on the uptrend to 108.50 and downtrend to 104ish area. It might go back up to 108.50 and then it could drop back down to 104ish or it could continue to go down from to 104ish and then it could bounce back up to 108.50. BIDU is dropping more than 80 points in premarket. Watch GLD at 100 level closely to see how its action plays out.
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long SRS and SPXU
ReplyDeletedamn, is that it?? not much of a sell off.
ReplyDeletesold 3/4 my srs and spxu. bought small position in AEM
ReplyDeleteSPY dropped from 110.30 to 106.16. That is 3.75% dropped.
ReplyDeleteyeah, i hear you gcl. i am out of my SPXU and SRS. just too damn strong for me. Long AEM and GG. F'it
ReplyDeleteHuge volume spike on hourly chart. I do not see this market going lower this morning
ReplyDeleteIt seems like gold stocks had found the bottom. It dropped down to the support level.
ReplyDeleteWhat is with the drop around 10:00 AM? Was it stop loss limit being triggered?
ReplyDeleteGo Phillies.
wow! the moves in SnP are ridiculous. wtf?
ReplyDeletegreat 4 trading.....this is fun
ReplyDeleteThe market will increase volatility. So you can expect the market will zig zag nowadays. This will increase the VIX.
ReplyDeleteso, are you guys short or long? I am long two gold stocks and not liking this market action. market feels heavy
ReplyDeleteincrease in VIX enough to play VXX long?
ReplyDeletestill long only exm..currently $6.25
missed my move into SPXU at the 1 hour breakout of spy.
spens
BAS, EXM has a strong support at 6. I know it will fill the gap at 9. The question is I don't know when is the timeframe.
ReplyDeleteIf SPY closes above 107.30 ish, you can expect SPY to go back up to 108.50 area.
The volume is slightly higher today.
ReplyDeleteBIDU is climbing back up from 353 level. Now it is 383.
gcl, I bought 25 shares of BIDU at 349.9 and sold at 356 ish. wanted to load the boat, but did not have the balls. had no reason to sell my tiny position, but huge swings make me nervous. X getting hammered today. too bad you are not still in that one.
ReplyDeleteOk, i am on the EXM band wagon. show me the $$$. Does this make it a crowded trade??:)
ReplyDeleteX had earning today. That is why I don't like earning season at all. If X bounces backup for a small rally, I will get out.
ReplyDeleteThe market could go either way to hit 108.50 or 104area. I don't know which direction it will go.
gcl, i had forgotten that you went long X. I was just referring to you getting out of your short. that's a bummer. holding through earnings sucks.
ReplyDeleteThat will teach me a lesson in the future. When earning season comes, I will probably wont trade for 2 weeks. Better play it safe.
ReplyDeleteI am basically neutral as well on todays direction. If we get a small rally, I will short it. preferably a rally to 108 ish in SnP. I may have to short new lows, but that damn downward spike this a.m. makes that difficult.
ReplyDeleteI am out of my long positions.
ReplyDeleteyeah, I might have to get out soon too before my losses gets too big. Maybe we will another leg down from here just like last October 2008.
ReplyDeleteMost gold stocks still hangning in there, but I am not gonna try to pick a bottom until market shows some strenth. I would rather short here. Do you think X will hit 200 dma?
ReplyDeleteI am out on my long positions, EXM and X.
ReplyDeleteNothing is going right for me now. Picking individual stocks are tough. I am better with SPY and QQQQ. Maybe I will stick with that.
The market will bounce back up a little, but the trend is about to change.
ReplyDeleteI just averaged down on EXM. at 6.62 avg price now.
ReplyDeleteI hate to avg down after I get burned last year in recession.
That burning made me miss the March to now run-up because I didn't believe any of it.
I moved my IRA to mutual fund in June. And I didn't believe the pop in July either so I didn't move back.
oops.. just saw that on EXM. :(
ReplyDeletedrund
gcl, i am feeling a bounce too. we are bouncing along the lower channel of hourly chart. i hate to say it, but I think they rally the damn thing into close. just have to wait and see. I am long X at 37.10
ReplyDeleteIn the future, I won't trade into earning season and option expiration day. It is too unpredictable. I have a lost on EXM, X and CLF lately. That is not good.
ReplyDeleteMaybe I should follow JDT as daytrader, in and out.
but that 50 DMA is so close
ReplyDeleteI believe market psychology has changed. It is time to short every bounce. But talking heads make you think long term trend is up.
ReplyDeleteIf want to stay in the market, shorting is the way to go.
You could see another repeat like October 2008. That is one year anniversary. Lots of stocks are breaking down.
ReplyDeleteCLF broke down 37.
X broke down 40.
GS broke down 180.
AMD broke down 5.50.
AAPL broke down 200.
1060 breaks, look out below
ReplyDeleteVolume is running above average. Not good for longs case.
ReplyDeleteas weak as the market is, i just dont think the big boyz are ready to sell em yet. i will short bounces, but not new lows. i agree the trend may be changing.
ReplyDeleteFor those readers out there, if you are long on any positions, get out on any pop or rally.
ReplyDeleteDOW had reached 10,000 level.
S&P 500 had reach 1100 level.
Lots of stocks are breaking down or make false breakout.
today was the healthcare stock short squeeze. chit, I missed it. WLP, HUM, AET, etc. have been running all day. I have lost a good amount of money trying to catch this move and missed it today. Chit!
ReplyDeleteanyone gonna go short at 3:00 eastern time???
ReplyDeleteI am waiting to short when SPY hit 108 to 108.50 area again.
ReplyDelete50/5 coming down
ReplyDeletequite the battle going on today. looks like 1062 is gonna hold (for now).
ReplyDeletewe could get a nice gap down tomorrow, sell off, and get a late day reversal off the lows. just something to look for.
ReplyDeleteOne thing to note down is volume is above average on down days. When you see volume thin down, it means put one toe on long side.
ReplyDelete